Systems Thinking And Modelling
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Systems Thinking and Modelling
Systems Thinking and Modelling offers readers a comprehensive introduction to the growing field of systems thinking and modelling (based on the system dynamics approach) and its applications. The book provides a self-contained and unique blend of qualitative and quantitative modelling, step-by-step methodology, numerous examples and mini-cases as well as extensive real-life case studies. This presentation style makes the otherwise technical tools of systems thinking and modelling accessible to a wide range of people.The book is intended as a text for students in business, management, management and information systems, social sciences, applied sciences and engineering. It also has particular relevance for professionals interested in group and organisational learning, especially in the educational, social, medical and scientific fields. Systems thinking as a managerial and organisational discipline was popularised in the 1990s. Since then, interest has grown worldwide in 'organisational learning' and related disciplines. Systems thinking and modelling provide a paradigm, a language and a technology for understanding the dynamics that underlie change and complexity in business, polit
Systems Thinking, System Dynamics
Systems Thinking, System Dynamics offers readers a comprehensive introduction to the growing field of systems thinking and dynamic modelling and its applications. The book provides a self-contained and unique blend of qualitative and quantitative tools, step-by-step methodology, numerous examples and mini-cases, as well as extensive real-life case studies. The content mix and presentation style make the otherwise technical tools of systems thinking and system dynamics accessible to a wide range of people. This book is intended as a text for students in diverse disciplines including business and management, as well as the social, environmental, health and applied sciences. It also has particular relevance for professionals from all backgrounds interested in understanding the dynamic behaviour of complex systems, change management, complex decision making, group problem solving and organisational learning. Systems thinking and system dynamics provide a scientific paradigm, a set of tools and computer technology which can help explain the forces and dynamics that underlie change and complexity in business, political, social, economic and environmental systems. Using systems thinking and system dynamics makes it possible to: examine and foresee the consequences of policy and strategic decisions implement fundamental solutions to chronic problems avoid mistakenly interpreting symptoms as causes test assumptions, hypotheses and scenarios boost staff morale and improve productivity improve the stability and performance of supply chains find long-term sustainable solutions and avoid ‘fire-fighting’ behaviour.
Modelling in Healthcare
How many patients will require admission to my hospital in two days? How widespread will influenza be in my community in two weeks? What will the changing demographics of our community do to affect demand for medical services in our region in two years? These and similar questions are the province ofModelling in Healthcare. This new volume, presented by the Complex Systems Modelling Group at Simon Fraser University in Canada, uses plain language, sophisticated mathematics and vivid examples to guide and instruct. Sage advice on the benefits and limitations of the modeling process and model predictions is generously distributed so that the reader comes away with an understanding not only of the process but also on the practical uses (and misuses!) of models. Perhaps the most important aspect of this book is that the content and the logic are readily understandable by modelers, administrators and clinicians alike. This volume will surely serve as their common and thus preferred reference for modeling in healthcare for many years. --Timothy G. Buchman, Ph.D., M.D., FACS, FCCM Modelling in Healthcareadds much-needed breadth to the curriculum, giving readers the introduction to simulation methods, network analysis, game theory, and other essential modeling techniques that are rarely touched upon by traditional statistics texts. --Ben Klemens, Ph.D. Mathematical and statistical modeling has tremendous potential for helping improve the quality and efficiency of health care delivery and as a tool for decision making by health care professionals. This book provides many relevant and successful applications of modeling in health care and can serve as an important resource and guide for those working in this exciting new field. --Reinhard Laubenbacher, Ph.D.